Olive harvest forecast

Olive harvest forecast, olive tree loaded with olives, olive photoThe Junta de Andalucía has recently published its olive harvest forecast for the 2018/2019 campaign. In Andalucía, pick olivesfor an amount of 6,443,315 tons, equivalent to 1,339,712 t. For the set of Spain, 1,550,000 t are expected. It is the biggest crop since the 2013/2014 campaign, after a few years of medium / low harvests influenced by the climate excessively dry.

As usual, the province of Jaén, with 685,000t will be the one that produces more olive oil. With a considerable volume of Picual olive oil.

In general, the forecast of the Junta de Andalucía is usually quite accurate and its average error in the last 10 years is just -50,000 t.

Peculiarities of the 2018-2019 olive harvest

Campaign 2018, green olives harvestThe green olives campaign has a delay between 2 and 4 weeks compared to other years. This is due to a slower development of olives. The flowering of the olive tree, later than normal and the low summer temperatures have prevented olives from ripening at a normal rate. This aspect implies certain uncertainty and can influence the forecast of harvest.

Fortunately, olive oil prices are expected to remain stable. Partly due to the significant drop in production (-35%) expected in Italy, Greece, Tunisia and Turkey… Where after the great harvests of the 2017-2018 campaign, the phenomenon of the would defeat the olive tree acts as an presence. The expectations of world harvest of olive oil predict a 8% decrease in production from 3,315,000 t to 3,064,000 t.

Although with delays, in Spain, the harvest of olives for premium olive oils and extra-early harvesting has begun. Combines increase jobs in the super high density olive groves. For their part, olive growers begin to prepare soils, repair mantles, grease the vibrators, olive harvesters

Capacity of the Junta de Andalucía campaign 2018 / 2019.

Recommended reading

What is the most profitable olive variety?

List of varieties of Spanish olives

How to remove bitterness from olives?

Control of olive diseases


We have translated the information on our website from Spanish to English. Note that some words may have seen their meaning altered during their translation.

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